StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet projects Florida State to make the NCAA Tournament as a four seed. The Seminoles are the #15 team in the AP Poll and sit at #24 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 16-7 overall record and a 7-2 record in the ACC.
Over the last four games, Florida State got a quality win against AP #19 Virginia and wins against Georgia Tech and Wake Forest but also stumbled with a bad loss to RPI #210 Boston College.
Florida State is underwhelming against top competition, with a 7-4 record against the RPI Top 100 but a 3-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 3-3 record against AP ranked teams. While the Seminoles have three quality wins including AP #19 Virginia, AP #10 Duke, and AP #5 North Carolina, they're dinged by three bad losses including RPI #210 Boston College, RPI #181 Clemson, and RPI #101 Princeton.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Arkansas (16-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #64), New Mexico (19-4, 5-2 Mountain West, StatRank #41), Minnesota (17-7, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #49), and Ole Miss (14-8, 4-4 SEC, StatRank #51).
The first four teams out are Brigham Young (20-6, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #44), Colorado (16-7, 8-3 Pac 12, StatRank #64), Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #70), and Texas (15-9, 5-6 Big 12, StatRank #69).
The next four out are Arizona (16-8, 7-4 Pac 12, StatRank #65), Pittsburgh (15-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #69), St. Joseph's (PA) (15-10, 5-5 A-10, StatRank #50), and South Dakota State (19-6, 11-2 Summit League, StatRank #59).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference